Global Production Research

Our Industry Hotspots Reports Method & data

Our Industry Hotspots Reports provide insights into supply trends and country positions by industry or product group.

Purpose

The Industry Hotspots Reports (formerly Industry Trend Charts) are designed to provide deep insights into the changing geography of manufacturing with a focus on emerging and frontier economies (EFE) as locations of production (i.e. source countries).

Content

For individual product groups, the Reports employ a selected set of metrics to describe:

overall trends in EFE exports, including key performance drivers and the origins / destinations of cross-border supply chains,

the leading EFE source countries, including likely medium-term 'winners' and 'losers',

profiles of individual EFE source countries, including the composition and sophistication of exports, breadth of capability, and the diversification of export markets.

Method

Our Report metrics are based on an analysis of cross-border trade flows and selected indicators of the Global Production Scoreboard. We use a toolkit that has been successfully employed and refined in research assignments for a wide range of client organisations.

A country's supply capacity and competitiveness is reflected in its ability to export. Accordingly, cross-border trade flows reflect the views of investors on the merits of one country over another as a location of production for a given product group.

International trade data allows for meaningful comparisons of export flows between source countries at a similar level of development and over a limited period of time. However, it does not allow for any conclusions regarding the the value added involved and its distribution between importing and exporting countries.

Emerging and frontier economies are defined as countries with a per-capita income not exceeding USD 20.000 in 2017. Manufacturing industries are defined in terms of their output, covering the product categories of Sections 5 8 (minus Division 68) of the Standard International Trade Classification (Rev. 3).

Data sources

UNCTAD, World Investment Report

UNSD, International Trade Statistics Databases

World Bank, World Development Indicators

WTO, International Trade Statistics

 

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